비만치료제, 중단 뒤 찾아온 변화
전문가 의견 26-004 '체중 감량 약물 중단 시 체중 재증가…2년 내 심혈관 건강 악화(BMJ)'

2026.1.8.  엠바고 해제(1.8. 08:30)
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  • 배경
    • GLP-1 약물 등 비만치료약은 효과적인 체중 관리 효과로 비만 치료에 혁신을 가져왔습니다. 하지만 비만 환자의 약 절반이 12개월 이내에 GLP-1 약물 복용을 중단하고 있습니다.
    • 이번에 영국 연구팀은 GLP-1을 포함한 비만치료약의 사용을 중단할 경우, 2년 이내에 체중이 빠르게 재증가하고 고콜레스테롤 및 고혈압과 같은 심장 및 대사 건강 지표도 악화될 수 있다는 연구 결과를 영국의학저널(BMJ)에 8일 오전 발표했습니다.
    • 연구팀은 2025년 2월까지 발표된 9341명의 참가자를 대상으로 한 37개의 연구를 분석했습니다. 그 결과 치료 중단 후 평균 체중 재증가율이 월 0.4kg이며, 체중 및 당뇨병 및 심장 질환 위험 지표가 2년 이내에 치료 전 수준으로 돌아갈 것으로 예측됐습니다.
      • 체중 감량 약물 복용을 중단한 후 체중 재증가 속도는 식이요법과 신체 활동 변화를 통해 체중이 다시 증가하는 속도보다 거의 4배 빨랐습니다. 또한 이 속도는 치료 기간 동안 감량한 체중량과 관계없었습니다.
    • 연구진은 "이런 약물이 초기 체중 감량에는 성공적일 수 있지만, 약물만으로는 장기적인 체중 관리에 충분하지 않을 수 있음을 시사한다”고 밝혔습니다.
    • 논문정보: Sam West et al. ‘Weight regain after cessation of medication for weight management: systematic review and meta-analysis’  BMJ

      DOI: 10.1136/bmj-2025-085304


  • 전문가 의견 요청 내용
    • 이번 연구가 나온 맥락, 의의, 중요성
    • 연구의 한계나 해석시 주의할 점
    • 한국에서 비만 치료 적용시 고려할 부분 등
  • 영국 및 호주 SMC에서 수집한 전문가 의견도 추가했습니다. 
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    • "ㅇㅇㅇ(전문가)는 한국과학기술미디어센터에 ㅁㅁㅁ라고 말했다."

곽승화 xAI STEM Specialist(화학, 의약화학)


*2026.1.8.


논문에 따르면, 비만 치료제는 단기적인 해결책이라기보다 지속적인 관리가 필요한 보조 수단임을 알 수 있습니다. 해당 연구는 중단 후 장기 추적 자료가 부족하고 연구 간 이질성이 존재한다는 한계가 있습니다. 따라서 향후에는 더욱 구체적이고 세부적인 환자군을 기반으로 연구 군집을 비교 분석할 필요가 있어 보입니다. 결론적으로 비만은 만성 질환이므로, 약물 치료는 반드시 생활습관 개선 및 공중보건 정책과 병행되어야 한다는 것을 보여주고 있으며 이는 단기 처방 위주의 접근 방식이 효과 측면에서 제한적일 수 있음을 의미하는 것입니다."


kwakseunghwa@gmail.com
아래는 영국 사이언스미디어센터(UK SMC)에서 배포한 전문가 반응(Roundup)입니다. 엠바고는 해제됐습니다. 이후로도 다수의 전문가 의견이 취합되고 있습니다. 전체 코멘트는 영국 SMC 홈페이지에서 확인할 수 있습니다. 

Prof Tricia Tan, Professor of Metabolic Medicine, Diabetes and Endocrinology, Imperial College London/Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, said:

 

“This paper highlights the importance of starting weight loss drugs properly, counselling the patients that:

  1. Obesity and associated metabolic conditions are chronic relapsing conditions
  2. Treatment needs to be continuous and long term
  3. Just like when we start BP drugs: patients are aware that this is lifelong, although doses can be adjusted over time depending on the concurrent patient status
  4. Just like when we start people on treatment for diabetes: this is an indefinite treatment given for benefit.

 

“However, there is increasing evidence that structured exercise is important to prevent weight regain after cessation of weight loss drugs and this study does not discuss this as a strategy to reduce this problem, instead choosing to dismiss the place of support after cessation of weight loss medications with a single sentence.  This is also at odds with their conclusion that weight regain after behavioural weight management programmes is slower than after weight loss medications are stopped.

 

“Although the paper states that weight regain after weight loss medication is faster than after people undergoing behavioural weight management programmes and perhaps presents this as a problem, behavioural weight management programmes do not in the first instance seem to cause enough weight loss to materially improve cardiovascular disease whereas we do have evidence from weight loss medication treatment that these do improve cardiovascular disease.

 

“Fundamentally, weight loss medications have been assessed as clinically effective in improving the health of people living with obesity and are cost-effective.

 

“To ensure that we get maximum value for money for the NHS, the Department of Health should ensure that these treatments are rolled out cohesively and in a long-term plan, ensuring that that there is equity of access across the UK.  The current situation, where access is restricted to people who can only afford treatment privately, is clearly inequitable.

 

“Obesity management, as a whole, must be managed as a national long-term strategy for the benefit of the nation.  This should integrate not only GLP-1 drugs but the associated lifestyle therapies and the option of weight loss surgery (which remains our best long-term weight loss treatment).

 

“Obesity management should be recognised as a powerful contributor to both the long-term health of everyone in the UK as well as returning economic benefits by enabling people to live their best lives.”

 

 

Prof John Wilding, Professor of Medicine in the Department of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine & Honorary Consultant Physician, University of Liverpool, said:

 

“This paper is a comprehensive analysis of the available data on weight regain after cessation of weight loss treatments (note that I am lead author for the STEP 1 extension trial with semaglutide and am also an author for some of the other trials that have addressed this question).  I note that quite a lot of the data concerns older medicines that are no longer available, however agree that the data seems to be valid across medication classes and for the newer medicines that are now most commonly used:

 

“1. The results are not surprising.  Obesity is a chronic disease that usually relapses when treatment is stopped.  We do not expect interventions for other chronic diseases (e.g. diabetes, high blood pressure or high cholesterol) to continue working when treatment is stopped and there is no scientific reason to expect obesity to be different.

 

“2. We do know from studies in diabetes and from the SELECT trial of semaglutide in people without diabetes that people at high risk of cardiovascular disease are less likely to have an adverse cardiovascular event such as a heart attack or stroke if they take GLP1 based drugs long term (these studies are usually of 3-5 years duration).

 

“3. Hence, we should consider these as long-term treatments, not as a quick fix.

 

“4. I note weight regain tended to be slower after intensive lifestyle interventions.  I would be cautious about interpretation of this as the populations included in these trials are likely to be different from those included in trials of medication, and I would always advocate lifestyle support to be used alongside weight loss medications to optimise outcomes anyway.”

 

 

Dr Marie Spreckley, Prevention of Diabetes and Related Metabolic Disorders in High Risk Groups, MRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, said:

 

“This systematic review and meta-analysis brings together 37 studies with 9,341 participants and shows a consistent pattern: after stopping weight management medication, weight is regained and improvements in cardiometabolic risk markers tend to diminish over time.  The authors estimate an average weight regain of around 0.4 kg per month after treatment cessation, with weight projected to return to baseline at approximately 1.7 years.  In the included trials, weight regain following medication cessation was greater than that observed after behavioural weight management programmes, even when accounting for the amount of weight lost during treatment.  The authors also modelled changes in markers such as HbA1c, blood pressure and lipids, projecting a return towards baseline within around 1.4 years after stopping.

 

“The press release broadly reflects the study’s findings, but it is important to distinguish between observed data and modelled projections.  The analysis includes a mix of study designs, and many studies were not at low risk of bias.  For newer incretin-based medicines such as semaglutide and tirzepatide, the evidence base remains relatively small and follow-up after stopping treatment is limited to around 12 months.  As a result, longer-term statements, including full weight regain within two years, rely on extrapolation beyond the available data.  Comparisons with behavioural programmes are indirect and should therefore be interpreted as suggestive rather than definitive.

 

“In real-world terms, the findings reinforce that obesity management typically requires long-term planning.  If people stop medication, many are likely to need ongoing nutritional and behavioural support, and health services should anticipate that cardiometabolic benefits may lessen as weight is regained.  The study does not show that behavioural support reliably prevents regain after stopping medication, highlighting the need for further research into effective, scalable strategies for long-term weight maintenance alongside pharmacotherapy.”

 

 

Dr Adam Collins, Associate Professor of Nutrition, University of Surrey, said:

 

“This is a timely and important paper that focuses not on weight loss but on the far greater issue of maintaining any lost weight.  Weight recidivism is a common issue seen across all weight loss interventions, and some weight regain in those coming off GLP-1 drugs would be arguably inevitable.  Yet, what this paper importantly suggests is that weight regain is amplified when you cease taking these drugs.  There are plausible explanations for why.  The first relates to how these drugs work.  Artificially providing GLP-1 levels several times higher than normal over a long period may cause you to produce less of your own natural GLP-1, and may also make you less sensitive to its effects.  No problem when taking the drugs, but as soon as you withdraw this GLP-1 “fix”, appetite is no longer kept in check, and overeating is far more likely.  Like any addict, going cold turkey is a real challenge.  This is further exacerbated if the individual in question has relied solely on GLP-1 to do the heavy lifting during weight loss, i.e. artificially suppressing their appetite without them establishing any dietary or behavioural changes that would help them in the long run.

 

“These authors acknowledge that this review is limited by the length of time people have been followed up and by potential bias in these studies.  Nevertheless, the authors project, based on the observed studies, that all weight would be regained within 2 years.  Yet more worryingly, we know from other weight-loss studies that some people don’t just regain the lost weight but overshoot their original weight.  This is particularly concerning given that many people who pay privately for these drugs may not be that overweight to start with.

 

“So, the key message this paper supports is that weight-loss drugs (GLP-1 agonists) have arguably made weight loss very easy, but maintaining the weight loss is now a bigger challenge than ever.  Especially given the massive wave of people who will likely be coming off these drugs in the coming months and years.  This emphasises the even greater need for sound diet, behaviour, and lifestyle strategies at both the individual and public health levels.”

 

 

Prof Naveed Sattar, Professor of Cardiometabolic Medicine/Honorary Consultant, University of Glasgow, said:

 

“This is an excellent analysis given the data limitations, but the findings are not unexpected and align with what we already know: weight-loss drugs work well when taken consistently, and weight regain typically occurs after stopping them.  It’s also unsurprising that weight loss with medication is somewhat faster than with lifestyle changes, as participants in lifestyle trials tend to be more motivated and have greater self-efficacy compared to those in drug trials.

 

“Importantly, continued use of these medicines over 3–4 years enables people to maintain significantly lower weight than they would otherwise – a benefit not typically seen with lifestyle-induced weight loss, where many regain weight over time.

 

“This paper cannot yet tell us whether short-term use offers lasting benefits for organs, but it’s plausible that being lighter for even 2–3 years due to short term use of the medicines could help slow damage to joints or hearts and kidneys.  Larger and longer outcome trials will be needed to answer that question.

 

“Finally, while the editorialist argues that ‘healthy dietary and lifestyle practices should remain the foundation for obesity treatment,’ this overlooks the reality of our highly obesogenic environments.  In such settings, medicines are essential for many people living with very high BMIs to manage their weight effectively.”


 

 

Declared interests

 

Prof Tricia Tan: “Previous co-founder, shareholder and consultant for Zihipp Ltd. Not involved since 2024. Scientific Advisory board for Nxera starting Jan 2026.”

 

Prof John Wilding: “John Wilding reports consultancy / advisory board work for the pharmaceutical industry contracted via the University of Liverpool in the last 36 months (no personal payment) for Alnylam, Amgen, AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Cytoki, Kailera, Lilly, Menarini, Metsera, Napp, Novo Nordisk, Pfizer, Prosciento, Response Pharmaceuticals, Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Saniona, Shionogi and  Ysopia; funding for clinical trials from Amgen, AstraZeneca and Novo Nordisk and personal honoraria / lecture fees from AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Medscape, Novo Nordisk and Menarini.

“He is past president of the World Obesity Federation, a member of the Association for the Study of Obesity, Diabetes UK, EASD, ADA, Society for Endocrinology and the Rank Prize Funds Nutrition Committee.  From 2009-2024 he was national lead for the Metabolic and Endocrine Speciality Group of the UK NIHR Clinical Research Network.”

 

Dr Marie Spreckley: “I am a registered nutritionist and a researcher in behavioural weight management.  I have no financial relationships with industry or manufacturers of GLP-1 or GIP/GLP-1 weight management medications to declare.”

 

Dr Adam Collins: “I declare no conflict of interest.”

 

Prof Naveed Sattar: “NS has consulted for and/or received speaker honoraria from Abbott Laboratories, AbbVie, Afimmune, Amgen, AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Carmot Therapeutics, Eli Lilly, GlaxoSmithKline, Hanmi Pharmaceuticals, Janssen, Menarini-Ricerche, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Metsera, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, Pfizer, Sanofi, and Roche; and received grant support paid to his University from AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Novartis, and Roche.  No shares in any medical areas.”

  
아래는 호주 사이언스미디어센터(Aus SMC)에서 배포한 전문가 반응(Expert Raction)입니다. 엠바고는 해제됐습니다. 이후로도 전문가 의견이 취합되고 있습니다. 전체 코멘트는 호주 SMC SCIMEX 포털에서 확인할 수 있습니다. 

Laureate Professor Clare Collins is NHMRC Leadership Research Fellow at the University of Newcastle and Director, Food & Nutrition Research Program at the Hunter Medical Research Institute


"This systematic review pooled the results from 37 individual studies that had compared the rate of weight regain in adults who had been taking various medication for weight management compared to people in control groups who had either received a lifestyle intervention or no intervention at all.

They had data on over 9,300 adults who had overweight or obesity and found that the rate of weight regain was greater once medication ceased (+400 grams per month) compared to the control groups (+300 grams per month). People had returned to their baseline weight within an average of about 1.7 years after stopping medication.

Interestingly they also showed that, depending on which medication was used, there was no difference in average body weight between the control groups and medication groups. This means (what we already knew), that once any intervention ceases, you start to regain weight.  

While this is a completely expected result, it was interesting that they also looked at changes in heart and diabetes risk factors as well. Here they estimated that on average people would return to baseline levels of blood cholesterol, triglycerides, glucose, HbA1C [average blood sugar levels] and blood pressure within 1.4 years of ceasing medication. 

Where to from here? This highlights that obesity is a chronic relapsing condition with health and medical implications and that these medications will need to be taken long-term (just like other health conditions). More research is needed to identify optimal maintenance medication regimes and what support is needed regarding nutrition, physical activity and psychology to sustain long-term health and wellbeing."


Clare is supported by an NHMRC Investigator Grant. Member of The Obesity Collective, travel costs to present on Nutrition for Cardio-Metabolic Kidney Disease at the Amgen Cardiometabolic Academy Meeting 2025

Clare is contactable at clare.collins@newcastle.edu.au 


----------

Dr Trevor Steward is Associate Professor in the School of Psychological Sciences at the University of Melbourne


"This meta-analysis confirms what many patients and clinicians have experienced in the real world. Weight loss drugs can help with weight loss while people are on them, but the weight often returns after stopping. This is important since many people discontinue because of their high cost, side effects, or the practical burden of ongoing injections. This doesn’t mean these treatments are not valuable. These medicines can contribute to longer-term health benefits, especially when paired with sustainable lifestyle changes. Newer GLP-1 medications may also differ, and more nuanced research is needed on the latest options, including for people at risk of disordered eating.

The key point is that medications should not be treated as a stand-alone cure. We need better evidence on how these medications work and what to do after stopping, such as how to transition care and what kinds of lifestyle and psychological support help to maintain benefits.

Deciding whether to take a weight management medication should be handled with care. Weight stigma can push people away from the healthcare system and can worsen eating disorders. A fair response should feature equal access, support, and public-health measures that make healthy choices easier, without shame or stigmatising messaging."


Trevor has declared he has no conflicts of interest

Trevor is contactable on +61 410 175 891 or at trevor.steward@unimelb.edu.au on Thursday and Friday until 3pm


----------

Previously issued comments:

Associate Professor Dominika Kwasnicka is a Behavioural Scientist and Public Health Researcher at the University of Melbourne


"From a behavioural science perspective, this review highlights a key limitation of relying on weight management medications as a stand-alone strategy. The evidence shows that, once these medications are stopped, weight regain occurs relatively quickly and more rapidly than after behavioural weight management programmes. While the projected return to baseline weight and cardiometabolic risk is based on modelling rather than long-term observed data, the underlying pattern is consistent across studies and analyses.

These findings do not suggest that weight management medications are ineffective. On the contrary, they can be highly effective while in use. However, obesity is a chronic condition shaped by behaviours, environments, and ongoing support. Medications primarily act on biological pathways and do not, on their own, establish the behavioural or systemic changes needed to sustain weight loss over time.

For Australia, this has important policy implications. Access to these medications is expanding, often with substantial out-of-pocket costs and limited structured follow-up. Without long-term planning, there is a risk of short-term benefit followed by weight regain and loss of health gains once treatment ceases. These results support the need to embed pharmacotherapy within comprehensive, long-term models of care that include behavioural support, continuity of care, and realistic discussions about duration of treatment, rather than viewing these medications as short-term solutions."


Dominika has declared she has no relevant financial or non-financial conflicts of interest.

Dominika is contactable on +61 477 712 311 or at dom.kwasnicka@unimelb.edu.au


----------

Professor Garron Dodd is Head of the Metabolic Neuroscience Laboratory at the The University of Melbourne.


“GLP-1 drugs have changed the conversation around obesity and type 2 diabetes, but this new data makes it clear they are a starting point, not a cure. When treatment stops, biology reasserts itself, and weight regain is rapid for many people.

What this study highlight is that obesity is a chronic, relapsing condition. Suppressing appetite pharmacologically works, in part, whilst the drug is present, but it does not reset the underlying neural circuits that regulate hunger, energy balance, and metabolism.

The future of obesity and diabetes treatment will not come from simply making stronger appetite suppressants. It will come from understanding how the brain adapts to weight loss and how we can stabilise those adaptations long-term.

GLP-1 therapies, like Ozempic and Monjario, show us what is possible, but they also expose their limitations. If benefits disappear quickly after stopping treatment, we need to ask deeper questions about durability, resilience, and metabolic memory.

The brain is not just responding to weight loss, it is actively defending body weight. Until we understand and target those central mechanisms, long-term success will remain elusive.

Sustainable treatment will likely require combination approaches, longer-term strategies, and therapies that reshape how the brain interprets energy balance, not just how much people eat.

This study confirms what we are increasingly seeing in clinical practice. When people stop weight-loss medications, weight often returns quickly, and the metabolic benefits fade.

A regain of about 0.4 kilograms a month is concerning but entirely biologically predictable, and it shows why GLP1 medications alone aren’t enough for lasting metabolic health.

Even relatively short periods of weight loss can improve blood sugar control and other health markers, which is encouraging. But we urgently need more research into how those gains can be maintained once treatment stops.

For Australians, this means managing expectations around weight-loss drugs. These medications can be transformative, but they work best as part of ongoing care that prioritises prevention, long-term support, and a deeper understanding of metabolic biology.”


Professor Garron Dodd is Founder and Chief Scientific Officer of Gallant Bio and StealthCo Therapeutics and is an inventor on patents related to metabolic and obesity therapeutics. He has received research funding from Novo Nordisk, Eli Lilly, and Gallant Bio.

Garron is contactable on +61 415 044 493 or at garron.dodd@unimelb.edu.au


----------

Professor John B Dixon is Adjunct Professor in the Iverson Health Innovation Research Institute at Swinburne University of Technology, Melbourne


"This analysis by an excellent UK team shows the data we have all been aware of for years. 

The new obesity management medications have greatly improved efficacy, but do not cure the disease of disordered energy balance.

All new medications are expensive initially, and with time and competition, become more cost-effective.

False dichotomies dominate much of the thinking: prevent vs treat, behavioural change vs medical/surgical therapy, and there are so many more.

You can see them emerging in this review."


John has not declared any conflicts of interest.

John is contactable at profjohndixon@gmail.com


----------

Joseph Proietto is Professor Emeritus in the School of Medicine at the University of Melbourne


"All those who lose weight medically regain weight. Why? We have 10 hormones in the blood that regulate hunger. When someone loses weight, by the time they lose 5 kg, the levels of these hormones all change to make the individual more hungry (1).

The changes to these hormones is very long-lasting (2). We got evidence all the way to three years (3).

In another change, the reduction in energy expenditure was still in place six years after weight loss, and in that study, they found that leptin, a powerful suppressor of hunger, was still very low (4). This means that the patients must stay on the hunger-suppressing hormones for the rest of their lives."

References:
(1) Edwards KL, et al. Impact of starting BMI and degree of weight loss on changes in appetite-regulating hormones during diet-induced weight loss. Obesity (Silver Spring) 30:911-919 2022
(2) Sumithran P et al. Long term persistence of hormonal adaptations to weight loss N Engl J Med 365;1597 2011
(3) Purcell K. et al. The effect of rate of weight loss on long term weight management: a randomised controlled trial. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol 2:954-62. 2014
(4) Fothergill E, Guo J, Howard L, et al. Persistent Metabolic adaptation 6 years after “The Biggest Loser” Competition. Obesity 24:1612-1629 2016


Joseph declares he has given lectures on weight loss to educate GP's on behalf of a few companies that make weight loss drugs. He has 2 PhD students who now work for Novo Nordisk, the makers of Semaglutide.

Joseph is contactable on +61 419 210 007 or at j.proietto@unimelb.edu.au

  
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SMCK 역할
SMCK는 세 분야 전문가인 과학자, 기관 커뮤니케이터(홍보팀), 기자에게 구체적인 도움을 드리고자 설립됐습니다. 각각 아래와 같습니다.
  • 과학자, 연구자에게는 의견과 해설이 온전한 맥락과 함께 제공되는 안전한 발언 공간이 돼줍니다. 선의를 위해 한 논평이 기사화 과정에서 왜곡되거나 부정확하게 변질될 우려를 줄이는 완충 작용을 합니다. 
  • 기관 홍보 담당자에게는 기관의 성과를 기자들에게 보다 객관적이고 정교하게 알리고, SMC 글로벌 네트워크를 통해 영향력을 높일 기회를 제공합니다. 
  • 기자에게는 사안을 해석하는 데 도움이 될 치우침 없는 종합적인 정보를 빠르고 풍성하게 제공하고, 이를 통해 기사에서 과학과 기술을 보다 자유롭고 편리하게 활용하도록 돕습니다.
SMCK는 이를 통해, 궁극적으로 근거에 기반해 사안을 합리적으로 판단하고 이것이 정책에까지 반영되는 사회를 만드는 데 기여하고자 합니다.

해외 협력
사이언스미디어센터(SMC)는 2002년 영국에서 최초로 설립됐고 현재 호주와 뉴질랜드, 독일, 스페인, 대만 등으로 확장됐습니다. 글로벌 네트워크에 포함된 6개 조직은 엄격한 독립성과 신뢰성이라는 가치를 공유하고 있으며 협력을 통해 주요한 국제 과학 이슈에 공동 대응하고 있습니다. 
한국은 신생 조직으로서 글로벌 네트워크와 긴밀히 협력하고 있습니다.
지속적으로 SMCK의 전문가 해설 및 의견을 받아보길 원하신다면 아래 링크에 등록해주세요.
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내용문의: 윤신영 미디어국장 yoonsy@smck.or.kr
한국과학기술미디어센터(SMCK)
news@smck.or.kr
서울특별시 강남구 테헤란로 151 4층 408호 / 02-6203-5450
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